One of our readers aksed on what dates the MATI trend signal for the S&P 500 turned durring the last few decades.
Here is a table that shows on what dates the MATI signal turned up and down and what the level was of the S&P 500 at that moment.
Date MATI Turn S&P500
Today 1978 (MATI is still up)
2012/01/30 Up 1313
2011/11/18 Down 1216
2010/06/14 Up 1090
2010/03/23 Down 1174
2009/06/23 Up 895
2009/05/29 Down 919
2009/03/17 Up 778
2008/02/22 Down 1353
2003/05/14 Up 939
2002/11/12 Down 883
2002/10/15 Up 881
2002/09/04 Down 893
2002/08/09 Up 909
2001/11/02 Down 1087
2001/10/09 Up 1057
2001/05/31 Down 1256
2001/04/11 Up 1166
2001/02/09 Down 1315
1997/10/20 Up 956
Not every move is always positive, like in the 2nd half of 2002 till Q1 2003 and end 2011. However avoiding the down trends in 2008 and 2001 compensates for all this.
This link leads to the page that shows the historic annual results till 2011 for the MATI signal applied to the S&P 500 for periods of 1 year and periods of 10 year.
Since the beginning of 2012, the MATI is up for the S&P 500
Our aim is not to hit exactly the top and bottom of the index. The aim is to be early enough in for the long up-trends and early enough out for the long down-trends.
That has worked rather well for the last 2 decades.
Hope this is of any use. Let me know if you have any questions on the S&P trend signal turning dates or any other trend investing question.